Monday, January 12, 2009

Lies, Damn Lies and Statistics!

TTTTT - In context of research into the 5t strategy of Texas to politically influence the electoral college, I have been able to observe a competing strategy on the part of California. Not one but both states appear to employ the strategy of keeping as large a number of people as possible in the state at all times. This is troubling and invites investigation, but concern is mitigated by the consideration that, since 1916, the New Hampshire Primary has been so influential in the nomination process, that (with only 6 exceptions,) the winner of the New Hampshire primary has gone on to win the nomination of that candidate from his entire party. Of these few exceptions, two events were failings of the same candidate. Although populations change over time (and by implication population ratios,) the land mass ratio has remained constant since 1916. Ranking 44th in area of all (now 50) states, by its small geographic footprint alone, New Hampshire can house only so many people. Since such a small population executes so statistically significant an influence over elections in general, concern over the disproportionate influence of Texas and California should NOT be overhyped. Naysayers to my theory make much of the fact that the number 6 is only proportionate to 23 elections. Despite the 'glass half-empty' approach of these nattering nabobs, competent numerologists are able to derive more significant findings by starting their computations with the true difference between 2008 and 1916 - you do the math! Post Script: I actually overhyped the capabilities of numerologists. Hollywood out-performed them as a group with the legendary movie "23."

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